UK long-range weather forecast: Met Office hints at dates for next heatwave

BBC Weather: UK set for dry and sunny conditions

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The latest heatwave has given way to thunderstorms and torrential downpours for much of the UK this week. But a peek at the long-range forecast shows that summer isn’t over yet, it’s just giving us a breather! Here’s what to expect.

Long-range forecast

While the current band of low pressure is expected to remain over the UK for much of this and next week, there are early signs of it shifting shortly after.

The Met Office said: “There are tentative signals suggesting that high pressure may become more dominant during the middle of August, bringing more settled, drier and warmer conditions for many.”

If this manifests, it could usher in a nice warm spell for the end of the school holidays which will be a welcome relief for parents with kids stuck indoors this week.

And it seems other forecasters are also seeing similar early signs of a heatwave.

The BBC long-range forecast said there was a “growing potential for high pressure to be more influential” later in August.

The BBC said: “We expect that low pressure will be shifting more into Scandinavia later in August which should gradually allow for high pressure to dry things out and bring some warmer, sunny days for late August.

“This should be a slow process, but for the second half of the month we are forecasting a greater likelihood of some drier, sunnier weather.”

Going even further, the Netweather long-range forecast said “a spell of hot and sunny weather” is expected in much of the UK in the third week of August.

However, Netweather added that this “will probably be a case of one or two short-lived interludes rather than an extended anticyclonic spell”.

The forecast added: “Overall, temperatures are expected to be above average during this period as a result, most likely by around 2C for most parts of the UK although in Scotland and Northern Ireland positive anomalies of nearer 1C are likely.

“Confidence in rainfall totals is low, as there are likely to be some unsettled, possibly thundery, interludes during this period.

“Sunshine totals will most likely be rather above normal for most parts of the UK.”

But first, however, the UK needs to brace for more rain after torrential downpours led parts of London and the south badly flooded.

Residents of the capital have shared their stories from the weekend, saying the roads turned into rivers.

Resident Chris Date tweeted a photo of a bus in Bakers Arms, Walthamstow, saying the flood water was “above the kerb”.

He said: “It’s impossible to walk on the pavement. To get on that bus the water came up to my shins. This is a canal, not a road.”

Cyclist Eddie Elliott, 28, told the Press Association agency he had passed the area near Queenstown Road station to find the road “totally shut down”.

He said: “Having been born and raised in London, I have never seen anything quite like it.”

Mr Elliott said the flooding was the worst he had experienced in the city, and described seeing “buses stood broken down in the water”.

Some roads remain closed because of the flooding, including the Blackwall Tunnel, the A12 and parts of the North Circular. There are long delays on other routes.

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