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Sturgeon facing humiliation as new poll shows SNP will NOT secure majority in election
March 11, 2021
SNP to 'lose confidence' if Sturgeon is 'tarnished' says expert
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The latest Savanta ComRes poll found favourability for the Scottish First Minister and the Scottish Government has plummeted. The poll also indicates the popularity of Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the UK Government has increased.
When asked in the poll who they would vote for in their constituency, 48 percent of those surveyed said they would vote for the SNP.
This is down by six percent from the same poll asked just last month.
The poll also found support for the SNP is down in the regional list, with just 40 percent saying they would vote for Ms Sturgeon’s party.
This is also a drop by three percent from February’s poll.
These numbers are in line with the 2016 result where the SNP received 46.5 and 41.7 percent of the vote.
According to The Scotsman, if polling intentions are correct, the SNP could miss out on a majority by one seat.
Associate director of Savanta ComRes Chris Hopkins said support for the SNP and Ms Sturgeon has plummeted following the Alex Salmond inquiry.
He said: “While the headline here may look bad for the SNP, and the natural conclusion to draw that the Salmond inquiry is having an impact, but ultimately the facts remain that, on these Holyrood numbers, the SNP would likely be incredibly close to forming a majority under an electoral system not designed for majorities.
“While the inquiry continues to play out, it’s still worth remembering how far away both the Conservatives and Labour are from really denting the SNP’s dominance and it would take a complete capitulation to change the likely outcome at the Holyrood election in May.”
Ms Sturgeon’s independence dream has also taken a dent, according to the latest poll, with the majority of respondents saying they would vote no in a second referendum.
The poll found just 45 percent of Scots would vote yes if the vote was held tomorrow, with 47 percent of those surveyed saying no.
Only eight percent said they would not know how to vote.
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This means support for Scottish independence has plummetted over recent months with the ‘yes’ campaign leading in recent months.
Ms Sturgeon’s personal approval ratings have also dropped 11 percent, according to the poll.
This is a drop of nine points since February’s survey.
Overall support for the Scottish Government is down by 13 percent compared to last month.
The latest poll results also Mr Johnson’s approval ratings have risen by 14 percent compared to December.
Overall the opinion of the UK Government improved, rising by 14 percent since December and up by six points last month.
The poll, conducted for The Scotsman by Savanta ComRes, asked 1,009 Scottish adults aged 16 and over between March 5 and 10.